- in memoriam: José Rodrigues Dias (1951-2023)
- in memoriam: Vladimir Goncharov (1962-2017)
- in memoriam: Graça Carita (1975-2016)
- Notícias
- Eventos
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Seminários
- The representation theory of the unitriangular group and other related groups
- On Computational Properties of Cauchy Problems
- Sets as Properties
- Artinian algebras and Jordan type
- Iterated Systems, Networks and Applications
- Isogeometric Analysis: mathematical and implementational aspects, with applications
- Sampling elusive populations: methods and applications
- Existence, non-existence and multiplicity results for some third-order periodic problems
- Convergence: what’s logic got to do with it?
- The Mathematics of Fires
- Old-age mortality deceleration and the modal age at death: insights from dynamic laws of adult mortality
- Stochastic differential equations models of animal growth and profit optimization in cattle raising
- Multidisciplinary approach for a real problem: modeling road traffic accidents
- The finite elements method and Freefem software
- DeepParticle: deep-learning invariant measure by minimizing Wasserstein distance on data generated from an interacting particle
- Kinematics: classification methods and combinatorial invariants for complex motion in biology
- Fractional Poisson Analysis in one Dimension
- Mathematics driven by epidemics
- ALMOST-POSITIONED NUMERICAL SEMIGROUPS
- A Delta approximation method on estimation for SDE mixed models
- Classificação de uma família de nós de Lorenz redutíveis
- Categoria de Lusternik-Schinrelmann e Grupos de Lie
- Euclides, Taylor, e a perspectiva esférica enquanto objecto matemático
- Time Series Clustering
- Condições geométricas para a existência e unicidade de projeção
- Sobre o volume de campos vetoriais
- Multiple criteria optimization: methods and applications
- Selective Base Revisions
- Nonautonomous attractors and bifurcation structures on nonautonomous families of flat topped tent maps
- Strongly nonlinear third order impulsive boundary value problems
- Solvability of second order coupled systems on the half-line
- Stochastic differential equations: brief introduction and profit optimization in fisheries
- Positioned Numerical Semigroups
- Tipo de Jordan de álgebras artinianas
- Complexidade em sistemas dinâmicos de baixa dimensão
- CFD Analysis in cerebral aneurysms
- Variational problems involving nonlocal supremal functionals
- Different Types of Stabilities in Times of Instability
- Non-linear systems of PDEs. Two examples from applications.
- Modelação de eventos extremos – uma introdução: aplicação ao decatlo e ao heptatlo atlético
- Comportamento assimptótico de soluções de problemas com valores na fronteira
- A característica de Euler de hipersuperfícies de espaços forma
- Brief introduction to stochastic differential equations and applications in Biology and Finance
- Sampling strategies in rural and urban settings in Africa - Looking from the sky
- Epidemiologia espácio-temporal no controlo da tuberculose
- Connectivity and Reliability of Mobile Ad-Hoc Networks
- Mathematical modeling, optimal control and complex network of epidemic models: case study of COVID-19 in Portugal
- Feature selection for marine species origin prediction
- Provas de Mestrado
- Provas de Doutoramento
- Apontadores
The Mathematics of Fires
Fires continue to be a leading cause of property loss, psychological effects, physical damage and death in modern society. In literature, several approaches are used to predict and model fire occurrences. Regardless the approach, most studies emphasize the need to consider spatial techniques to model fire occurrences as they offer the possibility to consider spatial autocorrelation, either in the response variable, the explanatory variables and/or the random error terms.
Forest fires incidence has been increasing sharply in recent years having reached, in Portugal, a burned area of 80% of the country area in 2020 (www.pordata.pt).
Large fires change instantaneously vast areas having substantial societal and environmental impacts frequently becoming major disasters. Since extreme values of fire size occur necessarily in the upper tail of a probability distribution, the mean and variance alone may not be sufficient to fully characterize those events. Hence, in this case, the extreme value theory (e.g. generalized extreme value (GEV) with a Poisson point process) may be an important tool to deal with historical extreme fire data.
Finally, fire stations (FS) provide a global emergency response to non-fire incidents, e.g., vehicle crashes. In Portugal, FS are very non-uniformly spatially distributed between municipalities both in terms of number and geographical location. Since the spatial configuration of fire stations may considerably influence the effectiveness of the provided services, national and regional governments need research-based advice on how many and where to establish firefighting facilities. The problem of optimizing the location of FS is still to answer in Portugal.
In this talk these research questions will be presented and discussed.